The change in the global aviation industry is now evident on the map of the page tracking flights *Flightradar24. In the Middle East region - one of the world's busiest air traffic intersections, the densest of flights connecting between three continents (Ábi - Africa) today - present large gaps.
- Trade flights fly away from the Middle East, creating large gaps in the sky in recent days. Image: Flightradar24*
The U.S. - Israel and Iran entered the 5th day that caused the international aviation and travel industry to fall into crisis. Large intermediate airports in the Gulf Area, including Dubai continued to close on Wednesdays in a row that trapped tens of thousands of guests. According to data of Flightradar24, approximately 21.300 flights have been cancelled at seven major airports in Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi since air strikes began.
For decades, the routes have flown from Europe to Asia mainly through the Middle East. The area is located by super-centrators such as Dubai International Airport, Zayed International Airport (UAE), Haad International Airport (Qatar), along with airlines such as Emirates, Qatar Airways, Etihad Airways - which build business models based on East-west connection.
** When the Middle East airspace is closed, the consequences come immediately and are global**. Flights were forced to change course, extend flight time, spending more fuel. At the same time, the firms also developed an additional series of flightal problems, which led to increased costs. Along with that, the airline insurance industry, ticket prices, operating sustainability were also affected.
Tony Stanton, Director of Advisory of Stratagic Air (Australia) thinks Middle Eastern Air Air as "a major European and Asian power bridge".
"When that bridge collapses or closes, the flow does not disappear but rushes north or down south in two main corridors. And at the time, these narrow corridors became overloaded," said Stanton. This led to the delay of the long journey, the interruptions taking place more and increasing the degree of uncertainty.
The airlines can't let the planes move free. They need permission to fly through the skies of each country and are only exploited to open air spaces under the control of the air control agencies. Hence, the transition to the new mining line caused the companies to ask for permission to fly through former countries that were not on the route.
"The breach" in the current Middle East skies also recalls the shocks with the former global airline industry as when paralyzed for months due to Covid-19 (2019), the companies had to change direction due to conflict between Russia and Ukraine (2022). Prior to 2010, transatlantic flight routes also had to be closed for several days due to the eruption of Icelandic volcanoes.
Paul Charles, director of the PC Agreement Senior Toural Advisory, assesses the current situation in the Middle East as the largest disruption since the Covid-19 pandemic. At the same time, Charles claimed that the impact on freight could be billions.
Currently, European-based flights with Asia have to turn to the Bay of Suez, then fly through central Saudi and Oman or further round north, through the narrow Armenian - Azerbaijan corridor, according to *France24. The two countries located in the transition position between Eastern Europe and Western Asia became particularly important to the airline since Russia launched military operations in Ukraine from 2022. Moskva banned Western and Japanese airlines flying through the airspace in response to similar measures aimed at Russian aircraft.
More and more flight bans in recent years due to warfare in Gaza and clashes between Israel with Hezbollah forces in Lebanon, and in Africa, Afghanistan or Pakistan.
"We've never been in such a difficult situation. Even during the Cold War, people were able to fly everywhere because there were not so many no-flying areas as we do now", Stepan Orol, the senior representative of the French pilot union said.
Get out! [The chimney rises at Dubai International Airport on the third day. Image: AP](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAACH5BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACACACATATATAEAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAATATATAATAEAEAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
- The chimney burst at Dubai International Airport on the third day. Image: AP*
Brendan Sobie, an airline expert in Singapore, states that in some extreme cases, the plane had to land midway to refuel. This cost the business more money to raise airport fees and operating costs.
These costs may also be paid in part by the insurance company, through war risk insurance. According to Stanton, if the risk increases, the insurance business will raise the fee.
Conflicts in the Middle East will also exert great pressure at fuel costs - typically charge 30-40% of the operating costs of airlines. According to CN, in front of us, tickets are hard to increase mutations. However, if the Iranian crisis lasts, the companies are forced to re-calculate to compensate for the operating costs and the power of mining decline and add to the ticket prices.
The companies also activated the backup plan, mobilized the reserve crew, changed the aircraft, even cancelled the flight to re-establish the flight network - a complex system. At the same time, the airline also had to set up hotels for the trapped staff, waiting for new developments on re-opening the airspace. Emirates has announced a limited link to several trips from the 4/3th night.
According to Sobie, the company's top priority is to secure the flight crew. As the situation improves, they take steps to restore the network, take the personnel back to their positions and return to normal operations. Still, safety factors must be put first.
Sobie says that the recovery time of commercial aviation activity in the Middle East depends on the extent and time of the interruption. If the air space is fully reopened, the recovery process is faster than the screenplay is open in part with many limitations. "But it's hard to predict when the activity is normal", the specialist in Singapore shared.
Stanton says big firms don't make decisions based solely on flight maps. They operate structured risk assessment systems, security teams responsible, flight and coordinators, and at the same time referendum to government and private intelligence sources.
"With big firms, I'm still ready to go on a British Airways flight, Qantas or Emirs if they exploit, because I believe in the system and the risk assessment process they apply", he said.
According to the survey of Reuters, the need for option-finding to replace flying companies in the Bay Area is increasing. The number of seats and fares were on a number of stages such as Hong Kong - London colliding. If the conflict persists, the analysis of Middle East estimates can cost billions of travel revenues.
"We all hope the current interruption is soon resolved. In the meantime, the nations have to respect the duty of making sure that civilians and non-injured airlines are not damaged", Willie Walsh, director of the International Aviation Association (ITA) said earlier this week.
According to ITA's data, in 1/2026, Middle Eastern airlines noted the demand for a 7.2% increase, capacity increased 7.8% over the same year. The region's flight-based aircraft-use factor reached 83.2% in the first month of the year, dropping 0.4 points per cent.
The organization also once predicted the profits of the Gulf Airways airlines of the world's highest group with approximately 6.2 billion in 2025. Without a conflict, IATA plans for the profits of Middle East airlines that could increase to $6.86,9 billion this year. They can make an average of $28,6 on each passenger, while the general level of the global airline is only about $7,9.
Tú UK * (in line with CNN/Reuters/France24)
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Get out! [The chimney rises at Dubai International Airport on the third day. Image: AP](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAACH5BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACACACATATATAEAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAATATATAATAEAEAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAA