Morning 28/2, U.S. Army and Israel Defense Force (IDF) launched the Iranian strike campaign, targeting defense and intelligence facilities, private homes of senior officials and generals. Tehran launched the missile that responded towards Israel.

Iran is a large oil producer and is located opposite the Arab Peninsula through the Hormuz Channel - where about 20% of the global oil supply passes. Thus, conflict can cause global oil supply to drop and push prices high, according to experts.

Sources of Reuters given to several major oil corporations and leading commercial companies temporarily discontinued the transport of crude oil and fuel through the Hormuz Channel.

End of the sixth session (27/2), Brent Oil reached about 73 dollars a barrel, increasing 20% from the beginning of the year. While WTI oil deals around 67 dollars per barrel. According to William Jackson, the emerging market chief's expert at Capital Economics, including the early control conflict, the price of Brent oil could still go up around 80 dollars per barrel, peaking in the 12-day encounter in Iran in June 2025.

If the situation extends longer, affecting the supply could cause the price to skyrocket around $100. At the time, global inflation is likely to increase by 0.6-0,7 points.

Get out! [Illlustration Shows the Support of Hormber, Iran and 3D Printed Oil pipeline](htmls

Marie Graphics van on the Hormuz Channel map. source: Reuters

Mr. Warren Patterson, Chief of Commercial Analysing at the ENG Bank (PDF Lan) also claimed short attacks and had a similar goal in mid-year might cause the price of oil to rise to approximately 80 dollars per barrel. If there is no interruption of the oil supply, the price rise will only take place briefly.

The worse screenplay was that the U.S. and Israeli raids had a larger scale than last year, causing Tehran to retaliate strongly. This endangered the oil supply from Iran, affecting the oil flow from the Persian Gulf, passing through the Hormuz Channel. The screenplay caused 9 million barrels of crude oil and 6 million barrels of product from shipping oil each day in danger.

Warren Patterson warned the worldwide oil market not as abundant as expected. The terming of the supply from Kazakhstan at the beginning of the year caused the production to tighten. Along with that, the fact that some parties were reluctant to enter Russian oil also added pressure on the oil market without punishment.

Prior to this situation, he suggested that if the Hormuz Channel was partially interrupted, including the fact that the tanker was attacked or arrested, the price of Brent's oil could have gone up to $100 initially, then settled at 80-90 per barrel. Only when the Channel is completely sealed, the price is up to 140 dollars per barrel but unlikely.

Not only oil, the price of gold predicted continued to go up, as investors rushed into the purchase. From the beginning of the year, this precious metal has increased by 22%. Kitco's survey showed that Wall Street and individual investors all agreed that the gold would increase the price next week.

Conflicts can also increase demand with US Treasury bonds. However, Bitcoin did not benefit. The money was no longer considered a safe haven, a 2% reduction on 28/2 and a loss of over 25% of the past two months.

The currency market will also not escape the movement. According to experts, the development of the USDA depends on the extent of the conflict. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) points out that the dollar index dropped about 1% in the June/2025 attack. But the drop was only short and inducted after 3-4 days.

CBA believes that in the current context, the decline level will depend on the scale and duration of the conflict. "If it extends and interrupts oil supply, the US will increase prices compared to most other coins, except for the Japanese yen and the Swiss EU". the U.S. is a water export of pure energy, should benefit from the high oil and gas prices due to the source being interrupted", the CBA expert group, remarked.

Viewed as a safe haven during the turbulent times, the Swiss Octopus expected to continue under increased pressure. This coin has increased by 3% over the dollar since early this year.

While Israel's shekel bronze can see the opposite. This coin once dropped 5% in the beginning of the conflict in June 2025 and also reacted after Israel attacked Iranian Consulate in Damascus in April 2024 and when Iran launched its rocket into Israel in October of the same year. All of this took place briefly, so shekel recovered quickly.

Angelo An(*insurd, ING)

[! [The Iranian oil gun skyrockets before the attack](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQAAAAACH5BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAATATATATATATATAAEAEAEAEAEAAEAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAEEEAEEAAEEEEAAAAAEEEAEAAEEEAEAEEAAEEAEAAEAEAEAAAAAEAAEAAAEAAAAAAAEEAEAEAEAA

[This is the amount of Iranian crude oil that has been loaded on the highest ships since 2018, as political risk increases.][citation needed]

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[ Income tax on Iran's partner, President Trump pushes tension, causing the Hormuz Channel - world oil vessels - facing the risk of lockdown.][citation needed][citation needed][citation needed]